Written: 2:30 AM 1/2/2021
Written by: Nicholas Dunn
Good Morning and Happy New Year! We hope 2021 for you so far is off to a great beginning. We had an icy mess to start the new year, but we gradually saw at least some if not total melting for many. Our team is already looking ahead to our next system looking to take aim on the region later today into Sunday. A quick-moving disturbance will rotate through the Ohio Valley bringing rain and snow to the region.
As we look at the latest forecast model, by early Sunday morning we see snow over much of the region. However, models may be overdoing the snow potential for some near and east of the I-71 corridor. Thermal profiles (temperatures) may not support all snow that far east. Events like these tend to have a sharp gradient with accumulating snow. Also, we tend to see a broad area of a rain/snow mix, which is what I think we will see for most east of I-75. This system certainly calls for us to continue to watch model trends.
By the time we get towards Sunday Afternoon, we will transition to lighter snow as the system departs. Again, temperatures will play a role and I tend to think this model is overdoing the precipitation just a bit. Let’s see how the next few runs trend to get a better handle on this!
ACCUMULATIONS: Models do have an agreement the best chances of accumulating snow will be west of I-71. However, models are keying in that northeast Indiana into adjacent areas of Northwest Ohio could see some banding and thus higher totals. We do feel confident that this area will see at least 2″ of snow. Our first call will trend lighter on totals as you move east due to temperature forecasts not being very certain right now. Snow-covered roads and travel impacts will be noticed more west of I-75.
Stay tuned for future updates!